Mistral's Timestral Beats Forecasting Leaders on CPUs With Just 209M Parameters

Mistral's first time-series foundation model family hits #1 on three major forecasting benchmarks with just 209M parameters and runs on CPU.

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Mistral's Timestral Beats Forecasting Leaders on CPUs With Just 209M ParametersPRO
Read2 min
TypeRepo
SubtopicSmall Models
  • Mistral released Timestral, its first family of time-series foundation models for zero-shot forecasting
  • Four sizes: 5M, 28M, 123M, and 209M parameters, all CPU-friendly
  • 209M model ranks #1 on GIFT-Eval, TIME, and fev-bench among zero-shot pretrained models
  • Supports multivariate targets, past and known-future covariates, and 32,768-step context
  • Outputs 21 probabilistic quantiles per time step instead of point forecasts
  • Code on GitHub (Apache 2.0); weights on Hugging Face under Modified MIT

Mistral AI has released Timestral, a family of open-weight foundation models for time-series forecasting. The release includes four checkpoints, public inference code, and weights hosted on Hugging Face. Every model supports CPU-only inference, giving developers a path to zero-shot forecasting without operating GPU infrastructure or training a separate model for each dataset.

According to Mistral’s results, the 209M-parameter checkpoint ranks first on GIFT-Eval, TIME, and fev-bench. The company says it surpasses the previous state of the art with roughly two-thirds as many parameters. Those results are self-reported, so production decisions still require independent testing on representative data.

Four sizes, laptop-scale weights

Checkpoint Parameters Approximate FP32 size
Timestral-5M 5 million 21 MB
Timestral-28M 28 million 112 MB
Timestral-123M 123 million 492 MB
Timestral-209M 209 million 837 MB

All four checkpoints fit in typical laptop or server memory. Actual runtime consumption will exceed the weight sizes because inference also allocates memory for activations, input arrays, and framework overhead.

  • Zero-shot forecasting: Generates predictions without task-specific training.
  • Multivariate forecasting: Models related target variables jointly.
  • Probabilistic output: Returns 21 quantiles for each predicted time step.
  • Long context: Accepts as many as 32,768 historical time steps.
  • Covariates: Supports past-only, known-future, continuous, and categorical signals.
  • Missing data: Accepts missing observations represented as NaN.

Mistral reports CPU inference latency of about 10 ms for the 5M model and 140 ms for the 209M model on an eight-thread server CPU. Latency will vary with batch size, context length, forecast horizon, number of variables, numerical precision, and host hardware, so those figures should not be treated as end-to-end service guarantees.

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